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U.S. construction employment is projected to grow from about 8.27 million jobs in 2025 to 8.68 million in 2035, a net gain of 410,700, according to an NAHB analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics projections. Specialty trade contractors are expected to account for about 270,600 added jobs, led among listed occupations by electricians.
U.S. construction employment is projected to increase by 410,700 jobs between 2025 and 2035, rising from approximately 8.27 million to 8.68 million, according to an analysis by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projections. The forecast represents 5% growth, compared with a projected 3.5% increase in total U.S. employment.
The projected gains are concentrated in two construction segments. Specialty trade contractors, which include businesses performing work such as electrical, plumbing, heating and air conditioning, and roofing, are forecast to add 270,600 jobs. Residential building construction is projected to add 34,200. Together, those categories account for about 74% of the industry’s projected net employment increase, according to the NAHB analysis.
Within specialty trade contracting, electricians are projected to add 65,700 jobs over the decade. Heating, air conditioning and refrigeration mechanics and installers are forecast to gain 40,900 jobs, followed by construction laborers with 34,800 and plumbers, pipefitters and steamfitters with 27,900.
Residential building construction is projected to add 13,900 construction laborer jobs and 8,100 carpenter jobs. The analysis also forecasts gains for construction managers in both segments: 5,100 in residential building construction and 11,200 among specialty trade contractors. First-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers are projected to gain 2,800 jobs in residential building and 17,300 in specialty trades.
Where Construction Hiring May Grow
The projections point to a larger expected employment increase in specialty trades than in residential building construction. That distinction matters for workers, employers and people considering training: the forecast identifies electricians, HVAC mechanics and installers, plumbers and other skilled trades among the occupations expected to see substantial gains.
The industry’s projected 5% growth exceeds the 3.5% forecast for total U.S. employment over the same period. If the projections are borne out, construction would expand faster than the overall labor market, while still adding jobs at different rates across its segments and occupations. The figures describe projected net employment change; they do not establish how many openings will result from turnover, how readily employers will fill positions, or how job growth will be distributed by location.
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The Forecast Behind the Numbers
The figures come from an NAHB analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics projections, as reported by Hardware Retailing. The comparison covers projected employment in 2025 and 2035. It is a forward-looking estimate, not a count of jobs already added or a guarantee that hiring will match the forecast.
The source gives overall construction employment and projected gains for selected industry segments and occupations. It highlights specialty contractors’ role in work including electrical, plumbing, heating and cooling, and roofing. The supplied material does not provide additional assumptions or a detailed explanation of the models underlying the projections.
What the Projections Cannot Settle
The 410,700 figure is a projection for net employment growth, not a confirmed future outcome. The source material does not specify how the forecast may change with economic conditions, construction demand, technology, policy, or other factors over the decade. It also does not give regional estimates or explain the expected number of job openings from workers leaving or changing roles.
The reported figures do not say whether the projected jobs will be filled, what wages or working conditions will be, or whether employers will find enough qualified candidates. Those questions are not answered by the employment-growth totals alone.
Tracking Hiring Through 2035
The forecast covers the period through 2035; the figures provided do not identify a separate next milestone or specific hiring action. Readers can compare future employment data with the projections as new Bureau of Labor Statistics figures become available. Any updates to the outlook would help show whether construction employment is following the projected path.
For now, the reported numbers should be read as an estimate of expected industry growth, with specialty trade contractors accounting for most of the projected increase. Actual job gains will become clearer as the decade progresses and employment data are reported.
Key Questions
How many construction jobs are projected to be added by 2035?
The NAHB analysis projects a net gain of 410,700 jobs in U.S. construction from 2025 to 2035, taking employment from about 8.27 million to 8.68 million.
Which construction segment is projected to add the most jobs?
Specialty trade contractors are projected to add 270,600 jobs, compared with 34,200 in residential building construction.
Which occupations have the largest projected gains?
Among the listed occupations, electricians lead with a projected 65,700 additional jobs. HVAC mechanics and installers are projected to gain 40,900, and construction laborers in specialty trades 34,800.
Is the 410,700-job figure a confirmed outcome?
No. It is a projection for 2025–2035 based on Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates analyzed by the NAHB. Actual employment may differ.
Source: rss
